The Fog of Revolution: how to get perspective while living through the genesis of the online age

Bit of a ramble this one: but it might make sense in places…

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When I was a boy I used to talk to my Nan about her childhood and youth in Cork, Ireland.

And about her father, who was invalided out of the First World War after a mustard gas attack, how when he was a tram driver he was hijacked at gunpoint by the Black & Tans. I think she could remember the burning of Cork when those bully boys with guns and leftover uniforms torched the city in reprisal for IRA attacks.

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One story she told me was about her Dad, who didn’t live long after that, sowing her a crystal radio set he had built. She told me how amazed she was to hear the voices and music through it.

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One day, he told her, you will be able to see pictures in the same way. Like cinema films travelling through the air to wherever you are. It made me marvel at all of the 20th Century’s changes that she’d seen in her life. I used to think that the changes in my lifetime would not be so dramatic – but Iw as wrong. 

It was s1982 when she told me that story. At home at the time there was a ZX Spectrum that my Dad had won the money to buy in a competition where his IT department. I took it to school one day because no one else had one and the teacher wanted to show it to everyone.

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We didn’t do much with it. I was only eight or nine. We played some games.

During class story time the teacher talked about the computer and the world we would grow up into. She said we would live in the computer age, but that there were limits to what computers could do.

She said that one of the kids, Gary, had asked if the computer – all mighty 48k of it – could tell us who the best football player in the world was. No, she said, and no computer in our lifetimes ever would. We would have to enter all the available data about football players and set criteria for the computer

Nowawdays I can ask the computer. Through Google. A sponsored result at the top (the natural results are a spammers’ playground)  takes me to Rankopedia which says that – surprise surprise – PelĂ© is the best player in the world ever.

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She was right. It wasn’t the computer that would tell us. The network would.

Anyhow, if you’ve read this far, I should really reward you by getting to the point. Or at least a point.

The point is this… when we are living though revolutions it is hard to understand them. I talked about this last night at Social Media Club London.

Revolutions are sudden changes, but they are also things which take place over time and the effect of which increase as time passes. The web is a revolution that will continue to bring incredible undreamt of changes to our lives for as long as we live and for some time afterwards, I expect.

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We know little about where this will take us in ten years time, let alone fifty. What the historian of 500 years time, if such a thing exists, will make of what happened between the creation of Arpanet in 1963 and the end of the 21st century we can only guess at.

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At least we can only guess at the details, enveloped as we in the fog of revolution, without, perhaps, even the mental models or the language to describe the full implications and outcomes of the web, of every person and every piece of available knowledge and data being connected, instantly accessible.

8 responses to “The Fog of Revolution: how to get perspective while living through the genesis of the online age”

  1. Lovely post, Antony: do more of these. My own family history is shrouded in mystery, though there’s rumour that we were forced out of Ireland because one of my misbegotten antecedents *was* a black and tan. No joke.

    And you are right: we’re all picking round the elephant pretending we know what the whole thing looks like.

  2. Interesting post, Antony. Nice to read the family history in light of recent events.
    It fascinating to see the speed at which these essentially human networks are are growing.

  3. Hey Antony, couldn’t agree with you more and nicely put. So our teachers knew something then.

    To me the technology has of course evolved massively since our first computers (mine being a Commodore 128k), and we should not forget that the technology behind a social network is itself relatively simple in modern terms. It is the human imagination that discovers a way to utilise the data entered into those networks that is particularly valuable. Consider MS PhotoSynth for instance, a technology that creates an emergent output from dispersed and simple unitary pieces of social data.

    3D point maps and a visual search engine just from photos on Flickr… amazing.

  4. Hello Anthony!
    If you like this, then I think you might enjoy Brian Winstons’ book Media, Technology and Society. I would like to draw your attention to his theory of supervening social necessity. Winston’s work, has provided an alternative model of technological development where he sees the relationship between social, and the cultural providing a pattern for innovation and diffusion. A key element to his model is the theory of “supervening necessity” Winston (1998 p6), which translates to the social circumstances which move technological innovations out of laboratories or workshops, and into the real world.

  5. Nice perspective. it does feel to me like we are at the beginning of a big change in the way we do many things. I’m pretty middle-aged (45…..very middle aged) but other than the first time I heard punk rock I don’t remember a period where I felt more strongly that things will never be the same again.

    Apologies for the double negative (i think)

  6. Love the post, Antony.

    So I guess you think there’s hope for us all having a flying car and never-wash pants someday?

    :-)

  7. Lovely personal post.

    I remember when I was 14 and got my Commodore Vic 20 (3.5 KB available RAM ;-) and was amazed that one day we’d sit in front of the computer and do the grocery shopping.

    Also a good example of how the network is yet not perfect. Maradona is the best football player in the world ;-)

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